CBB Bets (Sweet 16)
CBB Betting Card for March Madness (Sweet 16)
We’ve had plenty of betting success throughout the tournament with this article, so let’s keep it going! I’m going to break down two bets here, although I have four total bets at the moment for the Sweet 16. You can get all four by joining my DubClub since there needs to be extra value for subscribers!
Before we get started, I wanted to let you know that you can get ALL of my bets and player props via my DubClub. I’ll give y’all 25% off because you’re subbed to my Newsletter.
Get ALL of my CBB bets, player props, and brackets for March Madness here!
Texas Tech -5.5 (-110 @ DraftKings Sportsbook)
Remember last round when we bet Purdue over McNeese State in the perfect spot to sell-high on McNeese? We’re doing that again with the perfect spot to sell-high on Arkansas.
First, I do want to say that one way or another, I’ve bet against Arkansas in the first two rounds. I’ve lost both of those bets. I stand by my bets, though, and this is an elite spot.
To be entirely honest, there isn’t a ton working against Arkansas in this game. They match up relatively well against the way Texas Tech allows its opponents to score. The big difference between these teams is star power and overall talent.
JT Toppin will be the best player on the floor for the entire game. After him, you can make an argument for a few different players. The overall versatility is what makes this such a great matchup for Texas Tech.
Arkansas can either allow Toppin to post an elite game in the paint, or they can double him and force others to beat them. If that’s the route they take, Texas Tech has a plethora of shooters who can find success from outside.
We’ve seen Arkansas struggle when both of their freshmen are on the floor, and Boogie Fland and Adou Thiero are both expected to play. It’s clear Arkansas is playing its best basketball of the season, but I expect the talent difference to be too much.
Texas Tech is far too versatile, and they’ll have the edge in most categories in this game. Add in the inconsistency of Arkansas’ freshmen, and this is another solid spot for the Red Raiders to dominate.
Alabama/BYU o175.5 (-108 @ DraftKings Sportsbook)
This feels like a massive trap, but I’m taking the bait. This game should feature a ton of points with both teams having the potential to drop triple-digits.
The pace of this game is going to be incredible. Alabama plays at the fastest pace in the NCAA, and BYU is willing to push the pace offensively. Their defense isn’t going to be able to slow down Bama, meaning the most likely scenario is that BYU plays up in pace rather than Alabama playing down.
Both of these defenses are reasonable, but the offenses are elite. Both teams rank in the top 10 of the NCAA in offensive efficiency on KenPom. They’re both averaging right around 125 points per 100 possessions.
My biggest concern for scoring is that Alabama generally forces their opponents to beat them at the rim, but BYU wants to score from outside. On the other side, Alabama wants to shoot, and that’s something BYU will allow their opponents to do.
BYU ended the season on fire, posting 90+ points in 5 of their final 10 games. On the other side, Alabama recorded 90+ points in 4 of their last 6 games. This is going to be an elite game environment for both teams to find plenty of offensive success.
Someone likely breaks 90 points in this game with the upside for more. Both offenses are potent, and I prefer them over decent defenses.