We’re coming off of a tough Thursday night for CFB props. Some looked locked in and then odd things happened for them to lose. Overall, the props went 1-5. Some bad plays, some unlucky. It is what it is. We’re looking to get back on track here. If you’re new to Buy Low, make sure you subscribe [for free] above the Intro so you don’t miss any of my plays!
It’s important to note that this is my first season betting College Football props, specifically on PrizePicks. I’m not 100% sure what to expect. Make sure you’re only playing bets that you like. I’ll outline my reasoning for everything I post, though!
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CFB Props
I’m up at my brothers on somewhat of a mini vacation. Terrible timing, I know. So I may have limited plays for Saturday. With that being said, I’ll add any other plays I have to this article as I make them.
Brock Bowers Fantasy Points
This number really doesn’t make all that much sense. Essentially, I’m willing to make a bet on the Vegas play here.
Bowers’ receiving total is set at 61.5 yards. Let’s just assume 6 fantasy points here. He also has -230 odds to score a touchdown in this game. That’d be 6 more fantasy points. He’d only need 4 receptions to beat the total.
Bowers averaged 4 receptions for 63 yards and 0.9 touchdowns per game last season. He also added a few carries for 56 yards and 1 touchdown on the ground.
PrizePicks is betting that one of the best tight ends in the nation as a freshman isn’t going to progress without George Pickens in the offense as well. This is expected to be a breakout year for Bowers, and it should start this weekend.
Bowers gets a matchup against the Oregon Ducks. Is it a difficult matchup? Sure. But that’s also when the best players come to play. The young tight end performed extremely well against Clemson, Alabama, and Michigan last season, and there’s very little reason to believe he won’t pick up where he left off in 2022.
Brock Bowers o15.5 FPs
Austin Reed Fantasy Points
Austin Reed is taking a massive step up in competition, but it didn’t look to be too much in his first game with Western Kentucky. He posted 276 yards and 4 touchdowns with 1 interception against Austin Peay. Granted, that isn’t the massive step up in competition he’ll see, but I’m not entirely sure this week is either.
Reed will face off against Hawaii, who is projected to be one of the worst pass defenses in the NCAA. Hawaii allowed Mike Wright to throw for 146 yards and 2 touchdowns on only 21 attempts last week. He also ran for 163 yards and 2 touchdowns in that game.
Reed isn’t the same type of quarterback as Wright, but Western Kentucky also doesn’t have the same type of offense as Vanderbilt. Reed is going to air the ball out throughout this game, giving him ample opportunities to score fantasy points.
Western Kentucky is currently a -16 point favorite in a game set at 67.5 points. They own an implied team total of more than 40 points.
Reed’s currently set at 300 passing yards and 3.5 passing touchdowns. If you believe he breaks that total, there are 24 fantasy points already. This also gives him room to throw for a fifth touchdown or well over 300 yards.
I don’t necessarily believe Reed is on Bailey Zappe’s level, but this is the type of matchup he can flash that type of ceiling in. Truthfully, I’d be fine with over yards or touchdowns, which is why I’m comfortable with his fantasy points here.
Austin Reed o24.5 FPs